Case 73 / 183 Expert

MAC in Volatile Markets

M&A & Deal Analysis

The prompt

“As an M&A associate advising on deal risk, you are tasked with analyzing a real COVID-era deal break — LVMH's 2020 attempt to exit its agreement to acquire Tiffany & Co. — and assessing whether the buyer had a credible legal basis to invoke a Material Adverse Change clause, then quantifying the economic outcome of the settlement that followed.”

📋 What you're given

As an M&A associate advising on deal risk, you are tasked with analyzing a real COVID-era deal break — LVMH's 2020 attempt to exit its agreement to acquire Tiffany & Co. — and assessing whether the buyer had a credible legal basis to invoke a Material Adverse Change clause, then quantifying the economic outcome of the settlement that followed.

1. Task Overview

Task: assess whether LVMH had a credible legal basis to walk away from the Tiffany deal, and quantify what the negotiated settlement actually cost the buyer.

Step 1: Given Data — Deal Terms and the COVID-19 Disruption

LVMH agreed to acquire Tiffany & Co. in November 2019; by the time the deal was set to close, COVID-19 had disrupted both the business and the negotiating dynamic between the two sides.

Line ItemValue
Merger Agreement SignedNovember 24, 2019
Original Deal Price per Share$135.00
Original Equity Value$16.2bn
Original EV/EBITDA Multiple17.0x
Tiffany Q2 FY2020 Net Sales, YoY Change-29% (-0.29)
Tiffany Q2 FY2020 Net Earnings, YoY Change-77% (-0.77)
Delaware Chancery Lawsuit Filed by TiffanySeptember 9, 2020
Renegotiated Deal Price per Share$131.50
Renegotiated Equity Value$15.8bn

Step 2: Settlement Price Concession

Show Price Concession Formula

Price Concession (%) = (Original Price per Share − Renegotiated Price per Share) / Original Price per Share

Using this formula, compute the percentage price cut LVMH secured, and the total dollar value of that concession across the deal.

Step 3: Testing the Pandemic Claim Against the Delaware MAE Standard

Show Delaware MAE Test Formula

MAE Claim Succeeds only if: the decline is durationally significant (not a short-term dip) AND substantial relative to the target's overall earnings power AND not excluded by standard carve-outs (industry-wide or macroeconomic shocks, government actions, effects of the merger announcement itself)

Using this test, evaluate whether Tiffany's pandemic-driven sales decline gave LVMH a credible Material Adverse Effect claim on its own.

Step 4: Testing the Ordinary-Course Covenant Claim

Separately from its MAE claim, LVMH also argued that Tiffany breached the merger agreement's ordinary-course-of-business covenant by continuing to pay its regular quarterly dividend to shareholders while reporting pandemic losses.

Show Ordinary-Course Covenant Test Formula

Ordinary-Course Breach = target deviates materially from its historical operating practices (e.g., capital allocation, dividends, hiring, capex) between signing and closing, independent of whether an MAE has occurred

Using this test, evaluate whether Tiffany's continued dividend payments support LVMH's covenant claim.

Step 5: Beyond the Numbers

Assume:

  • The case settled in October 2020, before trial — no Delaware court ever ruled on the merits of either claim
  • Delaware courts have allowed a buyer's MAE claim to succeed only once in a fully litigated case (Akorn v. Fresenius, 2018), out of dozens attempted

Using these inputs, assess why LVMH ultimately agreed to close the deal at a reduced price rather than pursue its claims to a final court ruling.

💡 Model answer

Try answering out loud first — then reveal the model answer and compare.

⚠️ Common mistakes

  • Assuming a court definitively ruled that COVID-19 was (or wasn't) a Material Adverse Change — the case settled before trial, so no binding precedent was created.
  • Treating "Material Adverse Change" and "ordinary course of business breach" as the same legal theory — they are separate contractual provisions with different tests.
  • Assuming any large negative percentage decline automatically satisfies a MAC test — Delaware's bar requires the decline to be both substantial and durationally significant, and standard carve-outs (like industry-wide or macroeconomic shocks) may still exclude it.
  • Overlooking that even a legally weak claim can extract real economic concessions through negotiation — LVMH secured a $425 million price cut without ever proving its case in court.
  • Ignoring the strategic cost of litigation itself (time, uncertainty, reputational risk) when assessing why parties settle instead of litigating to a final ruling.

🔁 Follow-up questions

➡️ Related cases

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